Savills

Publication

Tokyo Residential Leasing - Q4/2019

Growth in the C5W returns

Rental growth bounces back in the C5W, while the 23W remain unchanged over the quarter. Nonetheless, solid annual growth persists, with both submarkets rising by around 6% YoY.

  • As of Q4/2019, average mid-market asking rents in the Tokyo 23 wards (23W) remained flat over the quarter at JPY4,044 per sq m, whilst rents grew 5.8% over the year.
  • Average mid-market rents in the central five wards (C5W) stand at JPY4,842 per sq m after growth of 2.0% QoQ and 6.2% YoY.
  • The C5W expanded its premium over the 23W average to around 20%. Discounts narrowed in the other wards.
  • Nakano in the West was the top performer this quarter following growth of 7.8% QoQ. therwise, over the year, Sumida impressed, with asking rents jumping 9.5% as newunits with above-average rents entered the market.
  • Units in the 15-30 sq m size band continue to dominate the market. That said, asking rents for these properties in the 23W fell 0.4% QoQ to JPY4,027 per sq m. Listings for the largest apartments remain relatively sparse.
  • Occupancy in the 23W held firm in Q4/2019. In the C5W, however, pockets of vacancy emerging in Shinjuku dragged the overall rate down slightly. 
  • Q4/2019 was the third quarter in a row where listings increased in the 23W – currently at levels not seen since Q2/2018.

Rents continue to rise steadily, as annual growth quickened in Q4/2019 compared to the same period last year. That said, rents in some wards, especially in the C5W, could soon start to test the financial capabilities of tenants.

Savills Research & Consultancy