Savills

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Tokyo Residential Leasing Q3/2022

Rebound in rental growth across the 23W

Gradual recovery has been seen across the 23W, with the inner wards regaining some momentum.

  • This quarter, average rents in the Tokyo 23 wards (23W) increased 1.7% QoQ and 3.1% YoY to JPY 4,052 per sq m.
  • Rents in the central five wards (C5W) increased 1.5% over the quarter and rose to JPY4,856 per sq m. The C5W submarket saw the largest annual growth at 4.2%.
  • The C5W premium grew to 19.9%, up 1.7 percentage points (ppts) from last year, exceeding the pre-pandemic level.
  • Chiyoda posted the largest gain on a quarterly basis of 4.8%, also seeing an annual increment of 7.9%, stemming from several new developments that have been listed on the market, which may signal temporary strong growth.
  • The premium for the 45-60 sq m size band grew relative to smaller units in the C5W.
  • The average occupancy rate in the 23W rose by 0.4ppts from the previous quarter to 96.4%. The East submarket experienced the largest increment at 1.3ppts, a rebound from the cyclic contraction in the previous quarter.
  • Although migration into the 23W has decreased compared to pre-pandemic times, Tokyo will keep attracting younger migrants in search of career and education opportunities.

Average rents rose across the 23W, with the C5W experiencing particularly encouraging growth. Occupancy has also risen as Tokyo experienced a moderate increase in its population; more foreign nationals have been able to enter Japan. With the increasing availability of rental units, including several new high-end projects, this quarterly growth may be short-lived. 

Savills Research & Consultancy