Savills

Publication

Hong Kong Retail Leasing - Jan 2023

Weak conditions persist at year-end

Rents were broadly unchanged in the last quarter amid softer retail sales and a lack of new lettings.

  • The final quarter of 2022 ended on a dull note with little change in market tone.
  • Despite attempts by landlords to lease up empty units before Christmas and Chinese New Year, activity levels have remained stubbornly low.
  • Relative to street shops, shopping malls are faring a bit better and most report high occupancy as landlords have diligently focused on lease-up rates rather than rents this year.
  • For luxury retailers the focus is on shopping malls rather than the high street and as the younger generation becomes a greater force in the retail market, we note a shift away from traditional mainstream luxury towards fresher concepts.
  • Given the economic uncertainties and ongoing COVID restrictions, we do not expect retailers and travelers to flood back to the city in the short term. 
  • We see little to suggest a major turnaround in 2023 and we think that rents will remain largely flat and expect a 0% to 5% rise over the year as a whole.

We expect a muted recovery in 2023 as the market faces on-going COVID restrictions, a strong Dollar, higher interest rates and softer residential prices.

Simon Smith, Savills Research & Consultancy