Savills

Publication

Tokyo Residential Leasing Q2/2023

Modest rental growth recorded

Rents continue to rise, with mild increments during the peak moving season.

  • Average rents in the Tokyo 23 wards (23W) have seen mild increments over the quarter, inching up 0.2% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) to JPY4,037 per sq m, and increasing 1.3% year-on-year (YoY).
  • Rents in the central five wards (C5W) also saw minimal changes, decreasing 0.3% QoQ to JPY4,800 per sq m, to a yearly increase of 0.3%.
  • The C5W premium over the 23W average is 19.2%, and has been higher than pre-pandemic levels since 2022.
  • Minato saw the largest quarterly increment of 2.2%, while Chuo saw the largest correction of 2.0%. The market has been stable overall in the 23W.
  • The 45-60 sq m size band saw some corrections this quarter, but maintains a comfortable premium over smaller counterparts.
  • Average occupancy rates in the 23W declined by 0.5 percentage points (ppts) to 96.6%, while those of the C5W dipped 0.7ppts to 96.3%.
  • An analysis of rental housing stock and supply data suggests a greater focus on larger units, as well as on the Inner East submarket.

Average rents in the 23W have kept increasing albeit slightly. Net migration into the 23W during this peak spring moving season has seen a notable recovery, reaching 2019 levels, and with foreign nationals playing a bigger part. Multiple upcoming development projects in the C5W are likely to make it an increasingly popular area to live.

Savills Research & Consultancy