Savills

Publication

Tokyo Office Leasing Q2/2024

Recovery gathers momentum

Optimism is growing with firm demand and moderate supply in 2024.

  • Office markets appear to maintain positive momentum, with rents experiencing sustained rental growth. Vacancies also continue to tighten overall.
  • Average Grade A office rents in the C5W increased by 1.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 1.9% year-on-year (YoY) to JPY33,000 per tsubo per month.
  • The average Grade A office vacancy rate in the C5W tightened by 0.1 percentage points (ppts) QoQ but rose by 0.3ppts YoY to 2.9%.
  • Average large-scale Grade B office rents saw a modest 0.5% QoQ increment, translating to a steady 2.1% YoY increase to JPY25,012 per tsubo per month.
  • Vacancy rates in the Grade B market tightened moderately by 0.8ppts QoQ and 1.2ppts YoY to 2.6%.
  • Office markets should continue to see stability in 2024 given the limited supply of new offices, but a significant influx of supply in 2025 may lead to some volatility.
  • Mixed-use developments are becoming the standard, offering versatility to meet the evolving demands of tenants, diversifying revenue streams, as well as boosting the value of office spaces.

The Tokyo office market has seen consecutive quarters of improvement, suggesting that the market has firmly transitioned to a recovery phase. Firm office demand levels are supported by moderate amounts of new supply in 2024. Looking ahead, 2025 will bring significant new supply, but pre-leasing appears encouraging. Bifurcation is expected to persist, largely influenced by location and age.

Savills Research & Consultancy