Source: Savills Research
Take-up in-line with this point last year and under-offers above the long-term average
Supply and demand snapshot
■ Take-up for April was 468,263 sq ft, bringing total take-up for 2017 to 1,953,728 sq ft, which is only 2% down on this point last year. 83% of transactions to-date have been of a Grade A standard.
■ The 12-month rolling take-up at the end of April was 5.8m sq ft, which is 17% up on the long-term average.
TABLE 1Key April stats
GRAPH 1City supply & vacancy rate
Source: Savills Research – data accurate to end of April 2017
■ A notable transaction to complete in April saw NEX, formerly ICAP, acquire c110,000 sq ft at the London Fruit & Wool Exchange, E1 on a sub-lease from Ashurst.
■ Also in April, BUPA acquired 55,305 sq ft at the new development Angel Court, EC2 over levels 1, 2, and part 3. There were two further lettings here last month; NewTA acquiring 22,885 sq ft on level 5, and Shanghai Pudong Bank acquiring 8,760 sq ft on level 19, which achieved the record rent of the year so far at £81.50/sq ft on a 10-year lease with a break in the fifth year.
■ At the end of April, the Professional services sector accounted for the greatest proportion of take-up at 19%. This is followed by the Tech & Media sector at 15%, and the Insurance & Financial services sector at 14%.
■ Serviced office providers have continued to be active this year, accounting for 9% of take-up. This is over double the sector's 10-year average market share of 4%.
■ Total City supply stood at 6.9m sq ft at the end of April, equating to a vacancy rate of 5.6%, up on this point last year by 110 bps, however still down on the 10-year average by 110bps.
■ A total of 615,264 sq ft went under-offer in April, bringing total space under-offer to 1.4m sq ft, which is 5% up on the long-term average.
GRAPH 2City supply pipeline
Source: Savills Research
■ Next year there is an estimated 5.2m sq ft of new space in the pipeline, however 49% of this space has already been pre-let leaving circa 2.7m sq ft scheduled to be delivered. However, we anticipate more pre-letting to occur which will assist in keeping the vacancy rate below the long-term average of 8.1%.
■ There have been seven deals over 50,000 sq ft so far this year, compared with just four by this point last year. However, take-up for smaller units has been slow with the number of deals for less than 10,000 sq ft 26% down on this point last year.
■ Total City & Central London demand is 9.5m sq ft, which is 9% up on the long-term average.
Analysis close up
TABLE 2Monthly take-up
TABLE 3Year-to-date take-up
TABLE 4Rents
TABLE 5Supply
TABLE 6Development pipeline
TABLE 7Demand & under offers
Demand figures include central London requirements
Completions due in the next six months are included in the supply figures
*Average prime rents for preceding three months
** Average rent free on leases of 10 years with no breaks for preceding three months
N.B We have amended our historic stock figure, resulting in a slight change of our historic vacancy rates (Aug 2015)
TABLE 8Significant April transactions
TABLE 9Significant supply
MAP 1Savills City Office Market Area (updated at the end of each quarter)
Source: Savills Research