Savills

Publication

Tokyo Residential Leasing - Q4/2024

Rents strengthen in all wards

Rental growth observed across the 23W, especially the C5W, driven by sound demand.

  • Average rents in the Tokyo 23 wards (23W) climbed by 1.3% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 6.4% year-on-year (YoY), reaching JPY4,332 per sq m. All wards experienced rental increments on both a quarterly and an annual basis.
  • Average rents in the central five wards (C5W) increased by 2.2% QoQ and 6.7% YoY to JPY5,250 per sq m.
  • The C5W rental premium over the 23W average rose by 0.4 percentage points (ppts) QoQ to 19.9%.
  • In the C5W, Chiyoda and Shibuya witnessed the largest rental increments of 3.1% QoQ, while Shinjuku was the most modest at 0.1% QoQ.
  • Average rents for the larger 45-60 sq m size band recorded the highest increase, at 4.4% QoQ, while the 15-30 sq m and 30-45 sq m size bands grew at more moderate rates.
  • Average occupancy rates in the 23W saw an uptick of 0.3ppts QoQ to 96.6%, while the C5W also increased by 0.3ppts QoQ to 96.2%.
  • Average prices of new condominium units in the 23W continue to hit record levels, supported by sound demand and supply constraints resulting from rising construction and land costs.

Optimism continues to grow in the 23W residential market, with all constituent wards having experienced both quarterly and annual rental growth. Net migration continues to hit new highs, while supply constraints for new for-sale condominiums should continue to shift some demand to the rental residential market, bolstering confidence in the sector for the year to come.

Savills Research & Consultancy