Savills

Publication

Tokyo Residential Leasing Q1/2025

Strong rental growth is likely to continue

Rents continue growth amid tightening supply and strong demand.

  • Average rents* in the Tokyo 23 wards (23W) strengthened by 5.0% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) and 7.3% year-on-year (YoY), reaching JPY4,547 per sq m. Most wards saw quarterly rental growth while all wards saw notable annual rental increase.
  • Average rents in the central five wards (C5W) grew by 5.2% QoQ and 9.9% YoY to JPY5,524 per sq m. A combination of high demand for more affordable units, and a large influx of new expensive units to the market have likely contributed to these steep rental increments.
  • The C5W rental premium over the 23W average rose 1.6 percentage points (ppts) QoQ to 21.5%.
  • Minato recorded the largest rental growth of 8.0% QoQ, while the rest of the C5W wards also posted healthy increases between 3.2% QoQ and 6.1% QoQ.
  • The premium gap between larger and smaller units appears to be narrowing, with the smaller 15-30 sq m size band observing the strongest rental increase at 6.4% QoQ, while the larger 45-60 sq m size band posting the slightest gain at 2.6% QoQ.
  • Average occupancy rates in the 23W increased by 0.3ppts QoQ to 96.8% while the C5W remained flat over the quarter at 96.0%.

*These are reference figures. Please refer to the Note on page two of the report for further information.

The 23W residential market sustained its positive momentum over the quarter, with most wards recording robust quarterly rental growth, driven by tight demand and supply fundamentals. It is highly likely that average rents in our monitored portfolio appear higher than the reality and seasonality accelerates this momentum, but this should be a good indicator of the current hot market.

Savills Research & Consultancy