Publication

West End Investment Watch – March 2018

Strong Asian and UK appetite at the start of the year

Market comment and notable deals

■ February saw a total turnover of £365m over six transactions, the largest of which making up almost 85% of the monthly turnover. So far this year we have recorded just £718m of deals, made up over 12 transactions, compared to £1.47bn and 15 transactions over the same period in 2017 (see Graph 1).

Graph 1

GRAPH 1Relative Activity Levels, 2017 vs 2018

Source: Savills Research (accurate to end of February 2018)

■ Nang Fung has acquired Regent Quarter in King’s Cross for £302.75m, reflecting a 4.35% net initial yield and a capital value of £1,161 per sq ft. The freehold 3.5 acre mixed-use estate comprises 260,730 sq ft lettable area over 12 office buildings and 20 retail and leisure units. The estate is 96% let providing a WAULT of 5.1 years to expiries and 4.3 years to breaks, with circa 85% of the income from the offices, at an overall passing rent of £56.50 per sq ft. The property attracted very broad investor interest, both UK and international capital, with the price paid almost £25m over guide.

■ Z Hotels has acquired 53-59 Chandos Place for £27.5m, reflecting a 3.41% net initial yield and a capital value of £1,410 per sq ft. The freehold interest totals 19,504 sq ft of office and residential accommodation arranged over ground and five upper floors. The property is single let to Dorling Kindersley Holdings Ltd until July 2019 (sublet to MWB Business Exchange Centres Limited) at a passing rent reflecting £48.75 per sq ft overall.

■ Smaller retail transactions continue to trade strongly, with Savills advising on the off market sale of 62-65 Trafalgar Square for £6.05m, reflecting a 3.49% net initial yield and a capital value of £2,116 per sq ft. The virtual freehold interest is single let to Pret A Manger on a new 15-year lease at a rent reflecting £250 ZA.

■ Asian buyers make up over 50% of turnover this year but over just two transactions (see Graph 2) whilst we are witnessing encouraging UK buyer interest with six deals this year coming from local capital.

Graph 2

GRAPH 2Purchaser profile

Source: Savills Research (accurate to end of February 2018)

■ The IPD average net initial yield has moved in 7bps to 3.39% whilst the equivalent yield moved out to 4.67%. Savills prime yield remains at 3.25% (see Graph 3).

Graph 3

GRAPH 3West End yields

Source: Savills Research, MSCI

Table 1

TABLE 1Key deals in February 2018

Source: Savills Research